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UFXBank Forex Outlook: Yen Keeps Moving Strong vs USD

Written by UFXBank Research Team
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USD Dollar (USD) – The Dollar fell against most major currencies after American home prices rose at a slower pace in July (3.20% vs. 4.20% prior) and U.S. consumer confidence which fell (48.5 vs. 52.5 forecast), increasing the possibility the Fed will restart purchases of government debt. NASDAQ and Dow Jones rose by 0.41% and  0.43% respectively, crude oil weakened by 0.4%, closing at 76.18$ a barrel, Gold (XAU) continued to rise and made a new record (above 1309$ )during the session, in the end strengthened by 0.8% , closing at 1308.3$ an ounce. No major economic data expected today.

EURO (EUR) – The Euro traded at almost a five month high against the Dollar when U.S. home prices came out worse than expected in July, fueling speculation the Federal Reserve will ease monetary policy. The momentum of the EUR/USD is still strongly bullish for the euro, as long it’s above 1.3400 level a long position is preferred, the next resistance line on the daily chart is 1.3700,the RSI and the 10 moving average indicators support up trend as well . Overall, EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3381 and with a high of 1.3595. No economic data expected today.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.3589

Resistance

1.3600

Support

1.3500

1.3290

1.3100

British Pound (GBP) – The Pound weakened against the Euro and fluctuated versus the Dollar in Forex Trading after Bank of England policy maker Adam Posen said that the central bank should resume its asset purchase program to boost the economy. The main resistance of the GBP/USD on the daily chart is still 1.6000, the momentum is bullish as long the price above 1.5700, the main support on the one hour chart is 1.5740 if the pair breakdown this rate probably it will continue to decline to 1.5500. Overall, GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5718 and with a high of 1.5895.  Today, Net Lending to Individuals is expected to rise from 0.3B to 0.5B.

GBP/USD - Last: 1.5825

Resistance

1.5900

Support

1.5715

1.5600

1.5500

Japanese Yen (JPY) –The Yen strengthened and was near a two week high against the Dollar after reports showed that home U.S. prices dropped for the first in four months. The USD/JPY has broken the support level that it had at 84.20 level therefore the momentum is negative again for the dollar. Overall, USD/JPY traded with a low of 83.68 and with a high of 84.34. No economic data expected today.

USD/JPY-Last: 83.72

Resistance

84.00

84.65

85.50

Support

83.65

Canadian dollar (CAD) – The Canadian Dollar touched the weakest level since March against the euro and closed almost unchanged versus the Dollar amid speculation that the Bank of Canada may keep the benchmark interest rate on hold at its next meeting, also the Canadian stocks rose to a five months high ,supported a weaker Canadian Dollar as well. The momentum of the USD/CAD is still negative for the US Dollar although it’s fluctuating in the last few days, as long the USD/CAD below 1.0400 levels a short position is preferred, the next support on the daily chart is located at 1.0200. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.0285 and with a high of 1.0361. No major economic data expected today.

USD/CAD - Last: 1.0282

Resistance

1.0360

Support

1.0220

1.0200