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UFXBank Forex Outlook: Euro at 1.39...for now

Written by UFXBank Research Team
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USD Dollar (USD) – The Dollar lost gains across the board in Forex Trading as investors preferred to invest in higher yielding assets in a volatile trading session as traders expect to FED's monetary policy meeting next week. The Initial Jobless Claims came out 434k better than expected 455k. The Stock Markets in U.S. closed mixed with Dow Jones losing -0.11% and the NASDAQ advanced by 0.16%. Crude Oil closed with no significant change from yesterday at 82$ a barrel. Gold (XAU) gained and jumped back to 1343$ an ounce as investors choose to turn back to safe haven gold. Today, the GDP is expected at 2% vs. 1.7% previously. Chicago PMI is expected at 57.5 vs. 60.40 previously. The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is expected at 68 vs. 67.9 previously.

Euro (EUR) – The Euro jumped up again to the 1.39 zone, covering previous 2 days loses. The fluctuation is still valid till some fresh news will cause the pair to break through to new prices. Holding above the support level of 1.3880 keeps the momentum positive for the pair. Overall, EUR/USD traded with a low of 1.3763 and with a high of 1.3944. Today, the CPI is expected at 1.7% vs. 1.8% previously. The Unemployment Rate is expected unchanged at 10.10%.

EUR/USD – Last: 1.3900

Resistance

1.3980

1.4040


Support

1.3880

1.3840

1.3740

British Pound (GBP) – The Pound gained versus the dollar and attempting once again to approach the 1.6 area. More optimism was seen for the Sterling as speculations that BOE will delay another round of asset purchases. The Nationwide HPI came out -0.7% worse than expected -0.3%. The CBI Realized Sales came out 36 worse than expected 40. Holding above the support level of 1.59 keeps the momentum positive for the pair. Overall, GBP/USD traded with a low of 1.5760 and with a high of 1.5977. Today, the net lending to individuals is expected at 0.9B vs. 1.5B previously.

GBP/USD - Last: 1.5945

Resistance

1.5980

1.6070

Support

1.5900

1.5820

1.5760

Japanese Yen (JPY) – The Japanese Yen gained versus the Dollar and the pair fell again to the 81 area from 82 on speculation that the FED will keep supporting the stimulus and by that reducing the demand for U.S. assets. The Interest Rate Decision came out unchanged as expected at 0.1%. The Tokyo Core CPI came out -0.5% better than expected -0.8%. Breaking the support level of 80.40 might push the pair to new lows. Overall, USD/JPY traded with a low of 80.82 and with a high of 81.76. No economic data is expected today.

USD/JPY-Last: 80.58

Resistance

80.90

82.00

82.30

Support

80.40



Canadian dollar (CAD) – Canada's dollar gained versus the U.S. dollar as weakness of the greenback was seen across the board but still the pair is supported by the 1.02 zone. Holding above the 1.0160 support level might rebound the pair back to 1.03 zones and push it higher. Overall, USD/CAD traded with a low of 1.0180 and with a high of 1.0285. Today, the GDP is expected at 0.3% vs. -0.1% previously.

USD/CAD - Last: 1.0212

Resistance

1.0220

1.0340

Support

1.0160

1.0080